Posted 7/3/2008 5:46:00 PM
Forget all the pretty red-and-blue maps.. Forget the great guessing game over the running mates. Whether Barack Obama or John McCain is the 44th president of the United States may boil down to simply this: will McCain peel off more Democratic women than Obama peels off conservative Republicans?
Both candidates are targeting crossover voters, and not just in those subgroups. Obama is talking up the possibility of large numbers of "Obamacans," and, in what either is a spectacular head fake or an act of hubris, has set up a campaign office in Hamilton County. And McCain and his surrogates are picking up where Hillary Clinton left off, talking up the possibility of Reagan Democrats, especially in Appalachia, being drawn to McCain's personality and glittering record of military heroism.
But the voters most likely to defect are the ones who are mad about something. For Obama, that means women convinced that a sexist media and...
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