We all know the question. Nobody knows the answer.
Except maybe the executive director of the NFL Players Association who has said he is "100 percent" certain that league owners will lock out players before the start of the 2011 season--ending with Super Bowl XLVI in Indianapolis. Or not, if the season disappears in the dispute.
"However extremely unlikely that might be, Indianapolis would have a Super Bowl in a subsequent year," says Mark Miles, head of the committee that prepared the city's winning bid for the big game. "The owners took the action not to extend the bargaining agreement at that time so it's not like it was not an issue that was understood by us."
The NFL advised employees last weekend of the first phase of a contingency plan. Teams would be receive broadcast revenue for games not played, although Commissioner Roger Goodell argues that the money would have to be paid back eventually.
But does the city have its own contingency plan? Not really. And there is no insurance to cover possible losses.
"I doubt there are opportunities for insurance there and we have not looked into them," says Allison Melangton, President of the 2012 Super Bowl Host Committee. "They have asked us to be ready for February 5th of 2012 and that's what we're gonna do."
With that, millions of dollars in corporate donations--and federal funds that could have been spent for other things--are being invested in initiatives that come with the promise of a boon to the Circle City's future.