The First Mayoral Poll

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With less than a week to go before their first public debate, Indianapolis Mayor Joe Hogsett is enjoying a comfortable lead over his main challenger, Republican Jim Merritt.

A survey of 400 likely Indianapolis voters conducted for Indy Politics by Mason Strategies has Hogsett leading Merritt 55 percent to 27 percent.  Libertarian Doug McNaughton has four percent of the vote, and another 15 percent say they are still undecided.

Hogsett benefits from a general feeling that things in the city are going well. A 53 percent majority say the city is on the right track, and Hogsett himself enjoys a robust 73 percent approval rating. However, the contentedness of Indianapolis voters is somewhat soft: only 25 percent “strongly” approve of the job Hogsett is doing, and only 41 percent are “definitely” planning on voting for Hogsett.

Hogsett also benefits from a general election opponent who is still introducing himself to the voters. Republican Jim Merritt has a positive name ID (27 percent favorable to 16 percent unfavorable), but most voters (54 percent) say they don’t know enough to form an opinion of him or haven’t even heard of him before.

Most voters feel the city is heading in the right direction, and 69 percent of those voters are voting for Hogsett. In contrast, only 41 percent of voters who think the city is headed on the wrong track are supporting Merritt.

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