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What Kavanaugh Effect?

A new poll in the U.S. Senate race shows incumbent Democrat Joe Donnelly’s vote against Justice Brett Kavanaugh might not have had much of an impact with the electorate.

The latest Gravis Marketing poll shows Donnelly leading Republican challenger Mike Braun, 44-40, with Lucy Brenton, the Libertarian, polling at seven percent.  Ten percent still remained undecided.

The poll of 377 likely voters had a  margin of error of 5.7 percent. And while the sample size was statistically small, it reflects the results of larger polls show the U.S. Senate race was a statistical tie.

When asked if they were more or less likely to support or oppose a candidate who voted to confirm Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court, 39 percent said they were less likely to vote for that candidate, 36 percent said more likely and 26 percent said it didn’t matter.

Donnelly voted to oppose Kavanaugh, citing his temperament during his confirmation hearings.

The poll also had Donnelly’s approval ratings at 40 percent.  His disapproval ratings were 39 percent. Twenty-two percent were undecided.

Some of the polls other results included...

  • Donald Trump’s favorable  ratings were 49 percent. His job performance ratings were at 50 percent.
  • Governor Eric Holcomb’s approval ratings were at 48 percent.  21 percent disapproved. 30 percent were undecided.
  • Senator Todd Young’s approval ratings were 28 percent.  23 percent disapproved. 48 percent were undecided.
  • In the Secretary of State’s race Republican Connie Lawson leads Democrat Jim Harper 35-29.  Libertarian Mark Rutherford has nine percent, while Green Party candidate George Wolfe had 4 percent.  24 percent were undecided.
  • Voters were split evenly on the impact of tax reform.
  • Nearly 60 percent supported laws banning discrimination against the LGBT community.

The  Gravis poll was conducted October 12 - 16.

You can view a copy of the executive summary here.

Photo:  U.S. Senator Joe Donnelly's Office

 

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