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WTHR-Howey Politics Poll: Gregg and Holcomb Tied, Young Seizes Lead From Bayh

Election night could be a nailbiter in Indiana if the latest poll is accurate, with dead heats in the races for governor and one congressional district, and a Republican surge into the lead in the race for Senate.

The third and final WTHR-Howey Politics Indiana poll shows Eric Holcomb and John Gregg deadlocked at 42% apiece in the campaign for governor. Both candidates have gained slightly in each of the three Howey polls -- last month's survey gave Gregg a two-point lead. 

With Libertarian Rex Bell holding steady at five-percent, the race is on track to be decided by the 11% of voters who say they remain undecided. 

A Monmouth University poll earlier this week gave Gregg a six-point lead, with 5% undecided and a five-point margin of error. The Howey poll has a margin of error of 4%.

The Howey poll gives Republican Congressman Todd Young his first lead in any public poll since former Senator Evan Bayh entered the Senate race, putting Young five points up as Bayh's unfavorable ratings rise. The Monmouth poll had the race tied. 

But the race for Young's old Ninth District House seat has Republican Trey Hollingsworth leading Democrat Shelli Yoder by just two points, with a higher margin of error of 5.6%. And Democratic Superintendent of Public Instruction Glenda Ritz leads Republican Jennifer McCormick by five points.

The poll shows Donald Trump solidifying his lead for Indiana's 11 electoral votes, taking an 11-point lead on Hillary Clinton. That's the same margin Monmouth gave him earlier in the week, and a six-point gain from the last Howey poll.

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